Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.540116 0.596692 0.657667 0.728428 0.808488 0.896488 1.000849
2025-09-21 0.442971 0.519914 0.609089 0.720762 0.857817 1.021755 1.234525
2025-09-28 0.376909 0.459913 0.560756 0.693573 0.865803 1.084233 1.386474
2025-10-05 0.346985 0.437335 0.551531 0.708540 0.922086 1.207243 1.625194
2025-10-12 0.322460 0.417667 0.542109 0.719644 0.971349 1.323146 1.866201
2025-10-19 0.300365 0.398321 0.530140 0.724399 1.010171 1.426328 2.099945
2025-10-26 0.281453 0.381158 0.518878 0.727876 1.045887 1.526941 2.341096
2025-11-02 0.266310 0.367688 0.511140 0.734882 1.086343 1.637635 2.611778
2025-11-09 0.246698 0.346119 0.489660 0.718757 1.088476 1.686713 2.784121
2025-11-16 0.235451 0.335835 0.483810 0.725708 1.127304 1.798871 3.081264
2025-11-23 0.222296 0.321675 0.470860 0.719949 1.144045 1.874543 3.321366
2025-11-30 0.212615 0.312076 0.464100 0.723344 1.176060 1.979617 3.631942
2025-12-07 0.200360 0.297876 0.449373 0.712717 1.183383 2.042271 3.871292
2025-12-14 0.189822 0.285746 0.437159 0.705357 1.195826 2.115939 4.145773
2025-12-21 0.176427 0.268225 0.414972 0.678858 1.170451 2.113624 4.255528
2025-12-28 0.171992 0.264953 0.416095 0.693446 1.223213 2.271223 4.748189
2026-01-04 0.167178 0.260724 0.415247 0.704267 1.269588 2.421202 5.250521
2026-01-11 0.161634 0.254925 0.411276 0.708900 1.304006 2.549990 5.725418
2026-01-18 0.156275 0.249116 0.406878 0.712288 1.336064 2.677357 6.221128
2026-01-25 0.151813 0.244586 0.404421 0.719116 1.375779 2.826622 6.804751
2026-02-01 0.144256 0.234266 0.390952 0.703402 1.366067 2.860830 7.078461
2026-02-08 0.140457 0.230367 0.388916 0.710176 1.405646 3.016283 7.731103
2026-02-15 0.135160 0.223526 0.381050 0.704564 1.417198 3.105131 8.205581